Kelconway: Longtime Listener, First-Time Caller – 77% Paper Win Rate, +$247.56 On The First Real-Money Trade
Ahoy there, Trader! ⚓️
It’s Phil…
Two milestones in one week. That doesn’t happen often.
Kelconway stepped off the paper-trading sidelines. 77% win rate across 48 paper trades. Then pulled the trigger on the first real-money entry. +$247.56 after fees. Longtime listener, first-time caller. The process did the work.
Sully80908 quietly logged the system result of the week. 6-month backtest of Phil’s ORB60 strategy. ~85% backtest win rate. 3 weeks live. 8 real-money trades. 75% wins, would have been 87% with one different management decision. P/L over $700. The backtest held up. That is the part that matters.
Michael S. ran the most consistent ledger of the week. Five sessions. Every one of them a clean win or a net positive. RUT BO1 carrying the workload – 90%, 85%, ~90%, 50% – and a 2-for-2 Monday start that set the tone for the week. He picked his spots on SPX rather than forcing both sides.
Richard H. delivered the trade management moment of the week. His scoring system flagged 30% ATR in the first 20 minutes as ambivalent. GEX pinned at 7400. He sat the SPX PPs out. The 15:30 UK hammer would have stopped him out. Discipline beat the trade. “Glad I didn’t take the PP.”
Duncan G. ran the broadest book of the week. Poppers. TnT swings on both sides. A BWB working into expiry. The RUT swing BWB was the painful one – hard to exit, cost a bit. The flipped bull swings on RUT and SPX put him $4+ up by lunch. A good day.
John M. scaled out a RUTW put spread for a 100% winner while not wanting a big position into Iran headline risk. Opened 10, closed 5 flat right away, let the rest run. “Wish we got back to boring news cycles.”
Don E. booked the most trade entries of the week across multiple Poppers. 60%, 50%, 45%, 30% on the wins. One SPX Bull BO loss when VWAP didn’t hold. Onto the next one.
Mary logged a 75% SPX win and confirmed her recent run. 9 of the last 10 trades winners. “I had a great run.”
James D. mixed Lazy Popper sessions. Short RUT and XSP LPs both winners earlier in the week, then a recovery move on the second SPX LP breakout that flipped a day red.
9 traders. The Wall filled up around Iran headlines and the peace-trade audit. Done by lunch. As always.
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Wall of Wins – Week Ending 12 May 2026
| Name | Results | Highlights |
|---|---|---|
| Don E. | 30%-60% ROC + mixed | [Popper] Quick win RUT Bear BO · closed 60% [Popper] RUT bull BO · waited for VWAP touch and bounce · closed 30% ROC – “The first bull SPX moved too fast and I didn’t want to chase it” [Popper] RUT BO closed 50% [Popper] SPX Bull BO closed 45% ROC [Popper] SPX Bull BO PP · closed just shy of Phil’s profit target – “nice trade today” [Popper] SPX Bull BO loss · exited when no VWAP bounce – “Onto the next one” |
| Duncan G. | $4+ net + mixed | [Popper] 3x SPX poppers · 2 SPX wins [Popper] 2 wins 1 loss on BO · loss stopped out by a whisker [TnT] Closing bear swings -1.80 and -5.50 (oversized – at the desk) [TnT] Flipped bull swings RUT and SPX · $4+ up from morning – “A good day” [TnT] RUT swing BWB difficult exit · cost a bit · couldn’t get a fill [BWB] SPX put BWB should close 95% shortly or on open tomorrow |
| James D. | Mixed sessions | [Lazy] Short RUT LP · winner · Short XSP LP · winner – “The RUT was a winner, the XSP too!” [Lazy] RUT LP win · second SPX LP breakout recovery turned the day negative |
| John M. | 100% winner | [Lazy] RUTW 2870/2875 put spread · opened 10 closed 5 flat right away · 100% winner – “had a busy afternoon and didn’t want a big position. Thx Phil!” [Lazy] Scaled out into Iran headlines – “wish we got back to boring news cycles” |
| kelconway ⭐ | +$247.56 🏆 | [Milestone] First real-money trade after 77% win rate across 48 paper trades · +$247.56 after fees – “Longtime listener, first-time caller. After learning through paper trading that saw a 77% win rate in 48 trades, I picked a fine day for my first real-money trade today”
|
| Mary | 75% ROC + 9/10 streak | [Popper] SPX win 75% – “Another SPX win for 75%” [Popper] 9 of last 10 winners · small loss on SPX BO – “I had a great run” |
| Michael S. | 50%-90% ROC | [Popper] RUT BO1 50% · took profits early after whipsaw – “looks like I could have clearly held for more” [Popper] 1 for 2: SPX -50% · RUT ~90% – “almost 90% win on RUT makes it close to a push for the day” [Popper] SPX BO1 win added to earlier RUT win · 2 for 2 to start the week [Popper] RUT BO1 90% ROC · SPX BO Long -10% ROC · Net win for day [Popper] RUT BO1 85% · skipped SPX BOs – “would have been 1 loss and 1 win on that had I done so” |
| Richard H. | 50% win + discipline call | [ORB] Nice win SPX ORB 20 after a nasty previous week [TnT] SPX bear swing from break back into range · RUT carried on swinging lower – “Happy days” [Popper] Closed 50% after long hold · 0.65db/1.35cr fills – “Nice to have a win, it has been painful on the turnarounds this past couple of weeks” [Popper] Bear RUT PP stopped out for a cent on retracement · missed SPX both ways – “it did what it was supposed to do, just without me” [Recovery] Sat out SPX PPs · 30% ATR in first 20 mins ambivalent on Phil’s scoring system · GEX pin at 7400 – “glad I didn’t take the PP as that hammer around 15:30 UK time would have taken me out” |
| sully80908 ⭐ | $700+ in 3 weeks 🏆 | [Milestone] [ORB] Started live after 6-month backtest of Phil’s ORB60 strategy · ~85% backtest win rate · 8 real-money trades · 75% wins (would have been 87% with one loser closed at 60% profit) · P/L over $700 in 3 weeks – “Super excited about how well this strategy works… Thank you so much for your teaching, just awesome!!”
|
Notable Highlights
Kelconway stepped off the paper-trading sidelines this week. 77% win rate across 48 paper trades. Then pulled the trigger on the first real-money entry. +$247.56 after fees. Longtime listener, first-time caller. The process did the work. The discipline before going live did the rest.
Sully80908 quietly logged the system result of the week. 6-month backtest of Phil’s ORB60 strategy. ~85% backtest win rate. Three weeks live. 8 real-money trades. 75% wins, would have been 87% with one different management decision. P/L over $700. The backtest held up. That is the part that matters – not the headline number, the validation.
Richard H. delivered the trade management moment of the week. Did not take the trade. 30% ATR in the first 20 minutes flagged ambivalent on Phil’s scoring system. GEX pinned at 7400. He sat the SPX PPs out. The 15:30 UK hammer would have stopped him out. The best win some weeks is the one you don’t take. “Glad I didn’t take the PP.”
Michael S. ran the most consistent ledger of the week. Five sessions. RUT BO1 carrying the workload – 90%, 85%, ~90%, 50%. A 2-for-2 Monday start that set the tone. He picked his spots on SPX rather than forcing both sides. The week’s clearest example of letting the chart pick the trade.
Duncan G. ran the broadest book. Poppers. TnT swings on both sides. A BWB working into expiry. The RUT swing BWB was the painful one – hard to exit, cost a bit, couldn’t get a fill. The flipped bull swings RUT and SPX put him $4+ up by lunch. A good day on a broad book.
John M. scaled out a RUTW put spread for a 100% winner. Did not want a big position into Iran headline risk. Opened 10, closed 5 flat right away, let the rest run. “Wish we got back to boring news cycles.” So does the rest of the room.
Don E. booked the most trade entries of the week. 60%, 50%, 45%, 30% on the wins across multiple Poppers. One SPX Bull BO loss when VWAP didn’t hold. Onto the next one. The “first bull SPX moved too fast and I didn’t want to chase it” line is the discipline embedded in the result.
Mary logged a 75% SPX win and her recent run came together. 9 of the last 10 trades winners. A small SPX BO loss. “I had a great run.” Quiet weeks compound.
James D. mixed Lazy Popper sessions. Short RUT and XSP LPs both winners earlier in the week. Then a recovery move on the second SPX LP breakout flipped a day red. The kind of day every trader has. He logged it anyway.
Key Statistics
- Total unique traders: 9
- Total screenshots processed: 19
- Date range: Week ending 12 May 2026
- First-time entrants: 3 (kelconway, John M., sully80908)
- Milestone moments: 2 (kelconway: first real-money trade · sully80908: $700+ in 3 weeks live)
- Most active trader: Michael S. – 5 separate session entries
- Trade management moment: Richard H. – sat out SPX PPs · 30% ATR ambivalent · GEX pin at 7400 · the 15:30 hammer would have taken him out
- Strategy spread: 5 strategies represented across the cohort (Popper, ORB, Lazy, TnT, BWB)
- Broadest book: Duncan G. – Poppers, TnT swings both sides, BWB into expiry
Strategy Breakdown
| Strategy | Traders | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| [Popper] / [ORB] | Don E., Duncan G., Mary, Michael S., Richard H., sully80908 | Workhorse strategy of the week. RUT BO1 carrying most of the win column. Michael S. logged 5 separate sessions. Sully80908 ran Phil’s ORB60 system live with 75% live win rate. |
| [Lazy] | James D., John M. | Short LP setups on RUT and XSP. John M. scaled out for a 100% winner into headline risk. James D. mixed wins with one breakout recovery day. |
| [TnT] | Duncan G., Richard H. | Both running multi-leg swing books. Duncan flipped bull swings for $4+ from the morning. Richard’s SPX bear swing carried from the prior week’s range break. |
| [BWB] | Duncan G. | SPX put BWB working toward 95% close on the open. RUT swing BWB was the difficult one – hard to exit. |
| [Recovery] | Richard H. | Discipline call rather than a recovery trade – sat out SPX PPs after scoring system flagged ambivalent setup. 15:30 UK hammer confirmed the call. |
| [Milestone] | kelconway 🏆, sully80908 🏆 | Two first-time-on-the-Wall traders entered with milestone results. First real-money trade success and 3-week live-system result. |
What They’re Saying
“Longtime listener, first-time caller. After learning through paper trading that saw a 77% win rate in 48 trades, I picked a fine day for my first real-money trade today.”
– kelconway
“Super excited about how well this strategy works… Thank you so much for your teaching, just awesome!!”
– sully80908
“Glad I didn’t take the PP as that hammer around 15:30 UK time would have taken me out.”
– Richard H.
“Wish we got back to boring news cycles.”
– John M.
“I had a great run.”
– Mary
The Takeaway
Two first-time entrants on the Wall in the same week. Both with milestone results. Neither rushed it.
Kelconway sat through 48 paper trades to confirm a 77% win rate before going live. Sully80908 ran a 6-month backtest of Phil’s ORB60 system before risking real money. The 3 weeks of live results confirmed the backtest. That is the order.
This is the lifestyle trading message at its cleanest. The system does not need a hero. The trader does not need to be in the chair when the bell rings. The discipline is in the preparation, the back-test, the paper-traded reps, the entry rules that don’t move when the news cycle screams.
Richard H.’s sit-out is the same story from a different angle. The trade that would have stopped him out was the one his scoring system told him not to take. He listened to the system. The market did the rest.
Done by lunch. As always. 🏴☠️
Happy trading,
Phil
Less Brain, More Gain
…and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece
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