Markets Fell… and So Did I (Literally) | SPX Analysis 17 Jul 2025

Chicken Soup, Bruised Ego, and a Bullish Setup?

Ahoy there, Trader! ‍‍⚓️

It’s Phil…

Morning traders – the markets fell hard and so did I!
A badly twisted ankle, knee, hip, wrist, one of those scrapes that only maternal-grade sympathy can fix – and of course, my pride took the biggest hit.

After that unscheduled stairwell liquidity sweep, I did what any disciplined trader would do: sat out, iced everything, and watched the Powell-Trump circus unfold from the comfort of my couch.

⬇️⬇️⬇️ – keep scrolling for today’s full breakdown – ⬇️⬇️⬇️

A battered trader is seated at a trading desk like a wounded prizefighter post-match. His body is bandaged and braced, but his eyes are locked on the screen. It’s not a hospital. It’s not a home. It’s a War Room of Ranged Rejections.


SPX Doesn’t Need You To Be Right. Just Consistent.

Pulse bar tells you when. Credit spreads handle the rest.


SPX Market Briefing:

The market remains rangebound, despite the theatrics. Yes, we saw a bullish setup off the range lows, but I was too busy being pampered and told what a brave little boy I was while sipping imaginary tea and rethinking my entire mobility strategy.

Today’s a fresh start. My mouse hand and clicking finger are battle-ready. But as I always say – I don’t love new trades in the middle of a range. That’s usually where good trades go to die slowly.

So I’m leaning bearish until something forces a rethink. Either my hedge trigger flips me bullish, or we tag those range lows cleanly again. Until then? It’s chicken soup and mild complaining on repeat.

Same gameplan holds.

  • Reversals at range highs and lows

  • Breakouts through the same

  • Sit tight in the mushy middle

Until then… I wait.

SPX Income System 17 July 2025


 

Expert Insights:

Mid-range trades are where hope goes to die.
According to trading stats from Thomas Bulkowski’s pattern research, breakout and reversal setups at key levels outperform mid-range drift entries by over 2:1 in risk-adjusted return profiles

[Source: ThePatternSite.com – “Performance Rank of Chart Patterns”].

The AntiVestor Truth?
If you need to squint to see a setup, it’s probably not there. Range edges offer clarity. The middle offers confusion with extra slippage. Don’t mistake motion for opportunity.

Title: “Mid-Range Chop vs Reversal Edge” Theme: Visual comparison of low-quality trades in the middle of a range versus high-probability setups at range edges Style: Data-Driven Collage Use Case: Expert Insights section Scene Goal: Drive home the rule: Avoid mid-range mush, hunt the edges.


Rumour Has It…

Trump apparently re-fired Jerome Powell before un-firing him five minutes later.

“Powell, you’re fired. Just kidding. Got you good. The good’est anyone’s been got.”

Satire Alert: Markets shouldn’t be a reality show – yet here we are.

This is entirely made-up satire. Probably!

Breaking scoops courtesy of the Financial Nuts Newswire-because who needs sanity?

“You’re Fired… Just Kidding” Theme: Trump fake-firing Powell and immediately un-firing him Style: Political Cartoonist Use Case: Rumour section of AntiVestor newsletter Scene Goal: Capture the absurdity of markets reacting to executive whims and Twitter drama as if it were monetary policy.


Fun Fact:

According to Bloomberg, since 2016, the average daily VIX move on days involving Trump tweets about the Fed is +3.2%
[Source: Bloomberg – “How Tweets Moved Markets” ].
Even post-ban, echoes still ripple.
Fun Stock Market Facts

Meme of the Day:

“When you’re bandaged head-to-toe but still stalking the reversal trigger.”

Title: “Still Ranging. Still Clicking.” Theme: The injured trader refuses to miss a trade, even when utterly bandaged and broken Style: Mad Magazine Satire Use Case: Meme section of newsletter Scene Goal: Visually capture the absurd commitment to trading a range setup even when every signal says “just rest, bro”


Happy trading,
Phil
Less Brain, More Gain
…and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece

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