Back from the lakes – and the bears may be too | SPX Analysis 11 Jul 2025

Eurofighters gone, market drifts in wide “do-nothing” zone

Ahoy there, Trader! ‍‍⚓️

It’s Phil…

Back from the lakes. Boots muddy, lungs clear, mind sharper than ever. And while the views were majestic, the SPX didn’t do much sightseeing. Let’s catch up.

⬇️⬇️⬇️ – keep scrolling for full breakdown – ⬇️⬇️⬇️

Weather room anchor returns from holiday to monitor stalled SPX setup.


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SPX Market Briefing:

Well I’m back in Blighty after a few days at Lake Windermere (again) – hiking, waterfall swimming, and a cheeky bit of boating.

Military flybys didn’t disappoint either.

Two Eurofighters buzzed us on day one, a Hercules screamed past soon after, and the Chinook practically joined us for tea.

Mrs Newton got the birthday adventure she deserved.

Back to the charts.

It looks like I picked a great time to unplug – the bearish Tag n Turn setup we flagged earlier took its sweet time to materialise.

We got a clean reversal, but then it crawled sideways into what’s now a wide “no-action” zone. Per the SPX Income System rules: sit, wait, and don’t force it.

That could be about to change. With the prior bear swing expiring, Friday’s open might deliver a new pulse bar.

And if that confirms? A new Tag n Turn setup will trigger a swing short.

Until then – theta drip continues.

SPX analysis 11 Jul 2025


In Other News…

Dollar Pause, Chip Charge, Crypto Blaze
Calm FX meets AI frenzy, Bitcoin rewrites highs

Opening note – After a week-long dollar dribble that juiced exporters, the greenback finally caught its breath just below 97. Traders parked ahead of Tuesday’s CPI, pulling a handbrake on last week’s reflation cheer.

But wait – Oil refused to nap. OPEC’s fresh World Oil Outlook pledged demand growth past 2050, nudging Brent to $69 even as Russia-sanction whispers swirled. Energy bulls sniffed supply discipline in disguise.

Next twist – Nvidia again stole center stage. An overnight preorder leak for its Blackwell-Ultra AI server vaulted the chip titan to a $4.1 trillion market cap, yanking the SOX index up 1% and masking a broader tech fatigue.

Meanwhile – Industrials found a wingman: Delta Air Lines hiked guidance by double digits on AI-driven scheduling gains, sending airlines airborne and reminding bears the rally can walk on more than silicon.

Wildcard – Crypto wrote its own headline. Bitcoin ripped through $118K, vaporizing a billion dollars in shorts and dragging ETH, SOL—and even a Doge-Pay rumor—into the slipstream. Digital lifeboats look enticing as fiat ships wobble.

Will chip euphoria override tariff dread, or does Monday’s policy cliff snap the rope?

Titanic-style dollar ship hits Nvidia iceberg, oil puppets pull strings, Delta jet dodges tariff, Bitcoin lighthouse guides market seas.


Rumour Has It…

Sources say a shadowy trader has been seen offering unhedged calls in exchange for beer brats and fireworks.

In unrelated news, the SPX has declined to move.

This is entirely made-up satire. Probably!

Breaking scoops courtesy of the Financial Nuts Newswire-because who needs sanity?

SPX stalls while satire plays out in Wall Street backyard.


Fun Fact:

July has historically been one of the strongest months for the S&P 500 – even during election cycles.

According to LSEG data cited by Reuters:

“Over the past 20 years, July has been the strongest month for the benchmark index with an average return of 2.5%”
reuters.com

This supports the idea that a calm, drift-filled start to July isn’t unusual and may actually be part of a broader seasonal trend.

 July has historically been one of the strongest months for the S&P 500—even during election cycles.

Meme of the Day:

“When your only move is to move… nothing.”

Trader relaxes while SPX drifts with no setup.


Happy trading,
Phil
Less Brain, More Gain
…and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece

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