Triple macro collision at 08:30 ET today – NFP, live tariffs, and oil above $83 all land simultaneously
VIX at 24.77, SPX and RUT in bear breakouts and range retests – RUT more so than SPX
Yesterday’s Premium Poppers: Trade 1 stumbled on both instruments, Trades 2 and 3 got paid – system held
The up-a-day, down-a-day grind continues – and that’s exactly what the system was built for
Yoyo continues. Up Wednesday (+0.78%), futures dipping Thursday. Broadcom dropped a $100B AI chip roadmap for 2027. Semis roared. Tariffs landed. Iran wants peace. Markets shrug. The range holds
Yesterday’s Premium Poppers: 4 trades, 3 wins, 1 loss, net positive. SPX banked $20/66.7% and $9/64.3%. RUT took an -$22 loss then recovered with a $30/66.7% winner. The system keeps delivering through chaos
SPX and RUT firmly back in their ranges after attempted breakouts. The 1.5% daily moves aren’t the 2-4% you’d expect during a war – further proof the market is almost ignoring it. If uncertain, step aside and wait for the range to break with conviction
NFP Friday at 58K consensus – less than half last month. ADP beat yesterday. Tariffs just landed at 15%. The Fed is stuck. Trade the charts, not the headlines. PopPop
War on or war off? The markets don’t seem to know. Korea crashed 12% – worst day in history, eclipsing 9/11. Hormuz effectively closed. Five tankers damaged. VIX peaked at 28. But US indices? Still in their ranges
Monday’s gap down went to range lows. Tuesday’s gap down broke out. Subsequent rally put it back in the range – classic break-in setup. #1 and #2 marked on both SPX and RUT charts
I’m not smart enough to figure out the geopolitics. I do know price charts keep showing repeatable patterns that are tradeable. Bear swings cashed. Bullish Poppers bounced. On a hike
Anticipating a narrow ranging day after Tuesday’s huge rejection bar. NFP Friday looms. ADP and ISM Services today. Trade the charts. Read the data. PopPop
13 trades across 3 trading days. Zero losses. 100% win rate. The Premium Poppers delivered through Monday’s carnage, Tuesday’s birthday party, and Thursday’s Nvidia hangover
SPX: 8 trades totalling $158 in index gains with ROC ranging from 55.6% to 69.7%. Breakouts, VWAP pops, counter-trends, Fib levels – the full toolkit
RUT: 5 trades totalling $77 in index gains with ROC from 12.5% to 68.6%. Even a mismanaged exit from a birthday party still banked profit
Wednesday’s missed trades were the only “losses” this week – expensive conversations at the insiders group whilst the community got a nibble. The system served up the setups. I just wasn’t there to press the button
30-day rolling stats holding at 80% total win rate with BREAKOUT status. Bear side running at 92.9%. The systematic edge keeps compounding. PopPop
Nvidia crushed it. $68.1B revenue. $1.62 EPS. Q1 guide at $78B. Supply commitments doubled to $95B. Stock moved half a percent. When perfection barely registers, we’ve reached peak expectations
VIX is back at channel lows at 17.97. Last time it was here, the market rolled over. MACD-v is overextended – same setup as 12 Feb which gave us several days of down moves
RUT stuck in its box near the upper boundary. Line of least resistance is potentially lower. SPX may be overextended too. Expect the week to end softer
I missed two Poppers yesterday – too busy talking at the insiders group. Expensive conversations. The community got a nibble though. PopPop
Down Monday, up Tuesday, should we guess at a down Wednesday? The yoyo continues and theta is decaying regardless of the non-committal directional moves
Three Popper trades done on the mobile whilst out celebrating a 79th birthday. Still sprightly enough to throw shapes without throwing a hip out. Still no losses
SPX and RUT are both a mess. Pop a big box around it, wait for the breakout. SPX below 6,750 or RUT below 2,570 gives the signal. Close to pinch territory
Nvidia reports tonight after close. $65.7B expected. Twelve consecutive quarterly beats. The entire market’s verdict for February lands in one call. PopPop