Mr Phil Newton
Mr Phil Newton

Author Archives: Mr Phil Newton

I help traders like you become more successful with practical mentoring and a well developed step-by-step trading methodology that you can follow around your current life commitments.

[AV Trend] – A change for the better – April, 09 2020

Ahoy there Trader, Its Phil…
 
What a world we live in!
 
As I type this, we are in the middle of yet another “…once in a lifetime event…”. I thought my one-time event was back in 2008 when we saw near complete global financial collapse.
 
This time it is a global health scare which is akin to the start of a zombie movie.
 
Anyway, because of the lock limit downs amounting to 7% (and 13% at one point), drops and similar 8% moves up, this is making it difficult to get my usual daily alert out after the close ready for tomorrow.
 
I am still posting my trades and since last November I have been trading a lot more actively, sometimes multiple trade alerts go out in the slack group.
 
Posting my favourites list for the day and the week is considerably easier to post than to spending 20-30 minutes writing a blog post which is impractical at the moment.
 
Unofficially, this is what we have been doing in the slack group – but let’s make it official with the alerts moving to 100% in the slack group for the foreseeable future.
 
It is considerably easier for me to post multiple alerts. For you to ask questions and for me to give a timely response.

 
Timely updates and Bonus trades in the slack group
 
Please join here – https://antivestor.com/slack
 

 
Phil
Creator of;
The AntiVestor Method™

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[AV Trend] – Pause & Profit (part 4)

Ahoy there Trader, Its Phil…
 

Crunching numbers like a nerd…
 

Given the huge spike in IV – the move to OTM – profitability based spread is going to reduce risk – costs – time decay – stablish IV overpricing
 

The set up is as described in the legacy training and the refresher video if you scroll back
 

Im attempting to stay inside 1 standard deviation as measured by 30%ITM or 30 delta (pushing it by looking at whichever is further away)
 

Then using the discount on the set up to get a huge multiplier in contracts for the same risk.
 

Trying to balance things out with getting a multiple of risk which can be anywhere between 85% and 200% ROC

 

It seems like some reality is coming back into the markets and at least there is a pause if not a short tem bottom.
There will be more pain before the recovery – but there is some respite for the moment.

Right now there is a balance in set ups developing and I will likely start filling my boot again from Monday
(fingers crossed for continued rational behaviour)
 

 
Timely updates and Bonus trades in the slack group
 
Please join here – https://antivestor.com/slack
 

 
Phil
Creator of;
The AntiVestor Method™

Continue reading . . .

[AV Trend] – Pause & Profit (part 3)

Ahoy there Trader, Its Phil…

It should come as no surprise again – that I’m going to let these waters settle before doing any new positions.
 

I still have some bears on and while I’m “…itching to pull the trigger…” just like everyone else is, on something new…
 

However, after another lock limit down day, I plan on taking my own advice which I’ve been saying to most of you behind the scenes on DMs
 

“…Don’t step in front of the bus while its moving…”
 

Let us see whats out there as the dust settles. If we do dip into a full-blown recession and bear market, what we are seeing now will only be the tip of the iceberg
 

Translation – even more interesting time ahead. This isn’t my first crash (never thought I’d say that more than once in my lifetime) and there are lots of opportunities for everyone’s flavour of risk.
 

Current bearish positions are
ADM
WDC
ROKU
MOMO
INCY
YY
 

 
Timely updates and Bonus trades in the slack group
 
Please join here – https://antivestor.com/slack
 

 
Phil
Creator of;
The AntiVestor Method™

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[AV Trend] – NLOK – Mar, 12 2020

Ahoy there Trader, Its Phil…
 
This stock is in an uptrend and resisting the pull of the market downwards. I will be buying the dip in an uptrend
 

HouseKeeping
 

 
Timely updates and Bonus trades in the slack group
 
Please join here – https://antivestor.com/slack
 

 
Phil
Creator of;
The AntiVestor Method™

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[AV Trend] – TER – Mar, 11 2020

Ahoy there Trader, Its Phil…

 
Updated 10th March – This stock has developed a new entry set up based on the 60-min chart (reversal pullback)

 

This stock is in a longer term uptrend and after retracing is now showing a reversal pullback at the 200 period moving average. As you know, not something I look at on a regular basis. However, this does help delineate where longer term investor will be seeking value to “…buy in…” to a good stock
 

HouseKeeping
 

 
Timely updates and Bonus trades in the slack group
 
Please join here – https://antivestor.com/slack
 

 
Phil
Creator of;
The AntiVestor Method™

Continue reading . . .

[AV Trend] – Pause & Profit (part 2)

Ahoy there Trader, Its Phil…

I think I’m going to hold off from an official alert again today

 

The markets are once again up and down like a yoyo and I suspect there will be an overnight bullish movement – which also influenced the cashing out of some of the bears

 

Fast profits are always good so we mustn’t complain too much [ cheesy grin ]

 

That said – I do like the look of;
VEEV bullish – range reversal

 

All the banking stocks still look interesting to me
An easy way to play them would be with the ETF – which was today’s plan before the selloff
or individual stocks & “…fill yer boots…”
 

 
Timely updates and Bonus trades in the slack group
 
Please join here – https://antivestor.com/slack
 

 
Phil
Creator of;
The AntiVestor Method™

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[AV Trend] – MAR – Mar, 05 2020

Ahoy there Trader, Its Phil…
 
This stock has been on my “longer-term trade” radar for a while (as has DIS). Price is currently at a boundary low after the recent selloff and has developed a failed bearish continuation.
 
Now developing a sign of exhaustion, this can be considered a slightly more adventurous entry set up.
 
I plan on being active on this setup and has a large target. I could buy more time to compensate, but given the higher implied volatility at the moment, I would rather stick with short dates expiration and cash out and buy back in as price moves favourably.
 

 
Timely updates and Bonus trades in the slack group
 
Please join here – https://antivestor.com/slack
 

 
Phil
Creator of;
The AntiVestor Method™

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[AV Trend] – PRGO – Mar, 02 2020

Ahoy there Trader, Its Phil…
 
This stock is at the low end of the range and nothing new is developing in the form of a breakout. There is also a reversal pull back on the 60 min chart to help time the entry. Targets are looking for a move to the upper edge of the range.
 

HouseKeeping
 

 
Timely updates and Bonus trades in the slack group
 
Please join here – https://antivestor.com/slack
 

 
Phil
Creator of;
The AntiVestor Method™

Continue reading . . .

[AV Trend] – Buy Buy Buy (maybe)

Ahoy there Trader, Its Phil…
 

Once again, I believe it to be sensible to wait for the opening bell before commuting to any new trade opportunities
 

The bear train appears to have slowed for the moment. I suspect there will be a rally – to develop either;
1 – a higher low – great for the next bull movement – as well as to set up the rallies in established downtrends
 

2 – the next leg of the collapse and the start of complete and utter financial melt down
[ strokes white cat ]  

 
Timely updates and Bonus trades in the slack group
 
Please join here – https://antivestor.com/slack
 

 
Phil
Creator of;
The AntiVestor Method™

Continue reading . . .

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