Mr Phil Newton

Markets Open, Guinness Poured – Can SPX Deliver a Perfect Finish? | SPX Analysis 17 Mar 2025

SPX is stuck in a familiar grind, bouncing between levels, teasing both bullish and bearish scenarios.

Market Setup & Key Levels:
✅ A bullish move is possible but only above 5650.
✅ Until then, I’m favoring the continuation of the bear swing.
✅ Friday’s rally pushed SPX to the upper range, but futures suggest weakness.

My Trade Plan:
✅ Delaying bullish entries unless we break 5650 with conviction.
✅ Monitoring a potential drop towards 5550/5500—ideal for my open bear swing.
✅ Rolled some experimental Friday GEX trades, given I’ll be away Monday.

Looking Ahead:
✅ If SPX pushes lower, exits will trigger, locking in profits.
✅ If we break out, bullish trades likely won’t need action until Tuesday.
✅ For now, my Guinness is poured, my exits are set, and I’ll check in from St. Paddy’s celebrations.

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SPX Analysis

If SPX Rallies Here… I’m Hitting the Sell Button Hard | SPX Analysis 14 Mar 2025

SPX continues its lazy, stair-step descent, but history suggests a short bounce before the next leg lower.

What’s Happening Now?
✅ Last time, SPX pushed lower, popped up, then dropped again.
✅ Gamma Exposure levels show 5500/5520 acting as price magnets.
✅ 5550 could be a key resistance level before another drop.

How I’m Trading It:
✅ Delaying bullish trades until we clear 5700.
✅ Watching for bearish reversal setups near 5550.
✅ Targeting 5500/5520 for a potential low-of-day move.

What’s Next?
✅ Bearish swings are starting to unload—profits locked in.
✅ Will reposition if tranches hit target exits or new setups appear.
✅ If nothing compelling develops, I’m clocking out early—time for saxophones, zoo visits, and a St. Patrick’s Day pint.

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Results

90.0% Returns – 5255 in Sight – Lots of Juice Left to Squeeze

Another bear swing trade hits target, compounding into the second leg of this downward move—and there’s still plenty of room to go.

Trade Breakdown:
✅ Standard bearish pulse bar entry after the previous breakdown.
✅ Part of my compounding strategy—adding into a winning move.
✅ Collected $3.00 in premium, closed for $0.30.
✅ Six days later, price dropped $185, locking in a 90% return.

Why This Trade Worked So Well:
✅ Directional move helped speed up the profit-taking.
✅ No in-trade management required—just patience.
✅ The trend remains strong, and 5255 is still in play.

Key Takeaway:
✅ Trading is easy when you let the market do the work for you.

And with two profit targets hit today, I might just take a long St. Patrick’s Day weekend to celebrate!

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Results

90.0% Return. No Stress, No Fuss—Just Another Clean Payout

Another perfectly executed breakout-pullback trade delivers a 90% return, proving once again that waiting for the right setup beats forcing trades every time.

Trade Breakdown:
✅ Classic breakout-pullback entry off the small range low.
✅ $3.00 collected in premium.
✅ Closed for $0.30, locking in a 90% return.

Why This Trade Worked So Well:
✅ A mix of directional movement & time decay paid us.
✅ No in-trade management needed—just execution & patience.
✅ Using one of my favourite money-making patterns, covered in depth in my Fast Forward Mentorship.

Key Takeaway:
✅ Trade on, wait, profit. That’s how real trading works.

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SPX Analysis

Bearish Darvas Box? Here’s How I’m Trading It | SPX Market Analysis 13 Mar 2025

SPX continues its stair-step movement, following a bearish Darvas box pattern.

Market Breakdown:
✅ SPX moves down, pauses, moves down again—rinse and repeat.
✅ 5650 remains solid resistance, confirmed by Gamma Exposure levels.
✅ 5700 is the key level before considering any bullish plays.
✅ Bearish targets remain at 5255 if the breakdown continues.

Trade Execution:
✅ Live zero-day trade during Fast Forward Mentorship call.
✅ Perfect execution—expired at max profit by day’s end.

Next Steps:
✅ Watching for bearish entries, pulse bars, and breakouts.
✅ Staying patient—waiting for the market to give the next move.

Viva la profits!

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Results

100% Profit Locked In! – No Movement, No Problem.

A slow, almost lifeless market? No problem. Today’s trade delivered a perfect 100% return, proving once again that you don’t need a massive move to hit max profit.

Trade Breakdown:
✅ Planned and executed in real time during the Fast Forward Mentorship call.
✅ Sold the range highs near 6020/30, targeting the range low at 5950/75.
✅ $ADD hit bullish extreme levels, confirming the bear move had more juice.
✅ Gamma Exposure (GEX) suggested price would pin near 6600—right on cue.

Trade Execution:
✅ $3.00–$3.10 credit received on a split fill, averaging $3.04.
✅ Exit was set at $0.30, but price hovered around 6600 all day.
✅ Expired at max profit—100% return.

Key Takeaway:
✅ If this was a short stock or long put trade, it would’ve been a loss.
✅ With income trading, no big move was needed—just smart positioning.

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