Failed ORB5 bull setup got engulfed – bearish premium collected, 52% ROC banked
Classic ORB20 breakout added another 36.4% ROC to the tally
2025 closes at 95.3% win rate (61/64) – system delivered again
Done in time for tea, biscuits, and a small sherry
$7 Move. 2 Trades. 148% Combined ROC. Premium Selling Shines Again. | Post Trade DeBrief 30 Dec 2025
2 Premium Poppers fired whilst Santa Rally remained MIA
VWAP + ORB20 setups combine for 148% ROC on a $7 sideways grind
Futures traders would be bored or stopped out – premium sellers went to dinner
RUT stats: 95.3% win rate (61/64) in last 30 days
RUT bear swing setup quietly appeared while everyone banged on about Santa Rally
“Setup is the setup” – followed system despite expecting bullish flip
$43 move through Christmas delivers 95% ROC – bought back for 30c
Santa Rally failing to call = bearish omen for 2026 (and richer premiums to pop)
Monday’s bear scare fizzled – little to no follow through
VIX U-turned from uptick – bear fears allayed
RUT flipped to bull swing – just in time for Santa Rally home stretch
Premium seller’s paradise: sideways = still get paid
RUT Premium Poppers: 37 of 38 winners (97.4%) in last 30 days – waiting for that opening bell
Santa Rally home stretch – will we or won’t we get one?
Hirsch warning: when Santa DOESN’T call, bears may come to Broad and Wall
VIX ticking up from year lows – possible hiccup to start the week
SPX bull swing + new ATHs vs RUT bear swing + theta collection – divergence continues
2 more sleeps until Christmas!
VIX at lowest reading of 2025 – maximum complacency, minimal crash fear
Gold hitting new ATH while Bitcoin continues its store of wealth demonstration (eye roll)
Both swings bullish, past targets – let’s see if something pops for Xmas cheer
Back in Blighty after fog delays – Poland was amazing, put it on your list
Bear snap move ain’t happening – time for Santa Rally considerations
Santa Rally reality: 1.3% average over 7 days – very small window, very small move
Both swings bullish, BBs tight on both – still grinding same range near the top
FOMC wibble wobble done – markets didn’t really do anything new despite the drama
RUT made NATH guest appearance then turned bearish – bear signal on last bar
SPX moved from range lows to range highs – potential bear setup forming
Crude oil back to range high → range low pattern (6 Money Making Patterns)
Phil leaning bearish before xmas rally – 2018 style flush then up?
No trading yesterday (FOMC day) – looking for poppers at open today
Groundhog day again – still at upper edge of larger range on indexes
RUT tagged NATH and upper BB then turned bearish – target is range lows
SPX bullish above flip point 6830 – no bear setup in suitable time window yet
FOMC today at 2pm – rate decision, projections, Powell presser at 2:30pm
7 for 7 on Premium Poppers this month – fingers crossed haven’t jinxed it
Out at charity event during US trading session – checked phone at 9:55
RUT Premium Popper placed with stops and targets – back to pinot and nibbles
~1 pinot and 3 salmon thingies later – bingly bong – target hit at 59% ROC
Check in – check for trades – check out – that’s how trading should be