NFP blew out at 130K vs 55K – unemployment fell to 4.3% – rate cuts pushed to July, March collapsed to 8%
AI trade bifurcation: hardware soars (Vertiv +21%, Micron +10%) whilst software burns (Salesforce -4%, Intuit -5%, Atlassian -6%)
SPX in a pinch point on the 30-min – bear tease didn’t follow through past 50% retracement – still leaning bear
Bitcoin broke the 200-week EMA at $68K – first time this rally – CPI Friday carries enormous weight
Delayed NFP drops at 8:30 AM – headline secondary, benchmark revisions could erase 600K-900K jobs and rewrite two years of data
SPX flat after sloppy exhaustion bar – MACD-v flipped back to bear – staying bearish with V-entries at upper range
RUT TnT flipped bearish below 2,689 – MACD-v exhausted – easy peasy in line with bias
VIX creeping higher with HH/HL pattern – is this the slow burning clue we’re all missing?
Dow 50K was a non-event – real story is $285B software massacre from Anthropic’s Cowork launch and “software is dead” going mainstream
SPX Bollinger Bands pinching into confirmed range with MACD-v exhaustion – leaning bear breakdown from here
RUT ran hard to bullish extreme with V-Entry developing – waiting for MACD-v to signal the bull move is done
Poppers pop 4 from 5 net positive whilst markets nonce around – process over outcome, place the next trade
Dow smashes through 50,000 for the first time ever whilst you were watching from the sidelines – crash what crash
China drops a Monday morning bombshell ordering banks to reduce US Treasury holdings – yields jumping, dollar falling
SPX straight-lines back into the range with no V-shape entry – the discretionary override saves headaches but costs shin bruises
Gold’s V-pattern recovery and Bitcoin’s dead cat bounce tell two very different stories about where risk is heading
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...Bear thesis continues to deliver – blood firmly on the street and the conservative override saved traders from the flip-flop all week
GEX chart showing nothing but negative gamma across every single strike – accelerator pedal for downside moves
Poppers keep popping: 7 from 9 via mobile whilst the world burns around us
Amazon’s $200B capex bomb pulls Nasdaq down like a sinking Titanic – worst week since April
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...Poppers keep popping – 7 wins from 9 trades Wednesday, not perfect but firmly on the right side of the profit ledger
AMD crashed 17% despite beating – Nasdaq now down 10% from highs, Alphabet dropped $180B capex bomb after hours
SPX pushed to range lows – TnT flipped bullish but delaying entry with V-shaped conservative approach
Bitcoin below $72K – lowest since election night 2024, every single post-election gain now erased
7 trades, 7 wins on Tuesday – including a $90/90% Morning Pulse and a $30/95.7% TnT swing – all while at a friend’s 80th birthday
The SaaSpocalypse arrived – Anthropic’s legal AI tool triggered $285B in software carnage, Goldman’s basket -6%, worst since April
Bitcoin touched $72,884 – lowest since November 2024 election, crypto winter officially declared
Bear thesis intact – time decay doing its thing whilst the days yoyo around, awaiting opening bell for more Poppers
Crash cancelled – futures dropped hard Sunday, recovered before Monday’s open, rallied all day like nothing happened
RUT Popper took a gong -$16 / -87.9% ROC – bearish VWAP bias failed, ORB20 breakout would have won all day
Bear swings remain – same pattern, same plan, time is our friend as price bobbles around
Palantir blew the doors off – Rule of 40 hit 127%, FY2026 guidance 15% above consensus, stock +12% premarket