Post-Trump Dump: Bear Bias Validated | SPX Analysis 03 April 2025

Ahoy there, Trader! ‍‍⚓️

It’s Phil…

Well, we’re officially post-Trump-dump, and the market’s not exactly throwing a parade about it.

Futures have dropped nearly 200 points and are camped out near the lows as I write this. It’s shaping up to be one of those “big gap, big drama” mornings – the kind that rewards patience and punishes panic.

And while every headline’s now spinning a narrative about tariffs, Trump, and trade wars…
Our community was already leaning in the right direction:

Buy the rumour, sell the news. ✔️

No surprise here.
My discretionary override to stay bearish below 5700 is paying off.
No whim. Just discipline.

So, what’s next?

Simple. Stick to the plan.

SPX Analysis 3 April 2025


⬇️⬇️⬇️ – keep scrolling for more in-depth analysis – ⬇️⬇️⬇️


SPX Webinar


Market Cracks, But I’m Not Calling a Collapse

Let’s get this out of the way first:
I don’t think this is the Big One.
No market apocalypse. No Armageddon. No bunker required.

This looks more like a tariff reset than total collapse – a sharp repricing, not a system failure.

But that doesn’t mean there’s no money to be made.
Far from it.

Here’s what I’m doing right now:

  • Bearish swings are active and in profit below 5700.

  • Aggressive add-ins under 5500 using:

    • Pulse bars

    • 10-min Tag ‘n Turn setups

  • GEX flip has slid to 5640, but I’m still anchored at 5700.

    • Why? Because a few ticks don’t warrant overcomplicating.

  • I’ll reassess GEX levels at the open for any spicy shifts.

And importantly…

My bull swing hedge might finally be worth something – giving me room to de-risk last week’s exposure while continuing to profit on the downside.


GEX Analysis Update

  • GEX flip has slid to 5640, but I’m still anchored at 5700.

 

GEX PreMarket 3 April 2025


Expert Insights – Don’t Change the Plan for Clickbait

ExpIn - Trade The Plan

Here’s what most traders get wrong on days like this:

❌ They abandon their bias because of headlines.
❌ They tinker with rules based on GEX micro-movements.
❌ They overreact to volatility instead of letting price confirm action.

What I’ve learned (the hard way, years ago):

Structure matters more than spin.
If you had your levels mapped, this wasn’t a surprise.

Your plan is only as good as your commitment to it.
Today is just another reason why I remain bearish until 5700 breaks.

Reacting emotionally to news is a rookie mistake.
Today’s dump was just a fast-forward to what was already brewing.


Fun Fact

FF - Trump Dump 2018

In 2018, when Trump first tweeted about tariffs, the market dropped over 1,100 points in a single session – then rebounded completely within 3 weeks.

Moral of the story?

Markets overreact. Patterns don’t.

Your job is to follow the pattern – not the press conference.


Video & Audio Podcast

Today’s Market Commentary Is a Silent Film
There’s no video or podcast today.
Just imagine me waving my arms at a bear flag and mumbling something sarcastic about 5700.
Regular programming resumes shortly.

 


Happy trading,

Phil

Less Brain, More Gain

…and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece

 

p.s.Want to Stay Calm in Market Chaos?

Today proves the value of:

✅ A mechanical strategy
✅ A clear structure
✅ And a mindset built for turbulence

  • Join the Fast Forward Mentorship – trade live, twice a week, with me and the crew. PLUS Monthly on-demand 1-2-1’s

Learn how to profit from panic – without the panic.

Let’s trade this system together – real time, real trades, real profit.


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