SPX Squeeze: A Breakout Brewing or Just a Breather? | SPX Market Analysis 31 Jan 2025

Ahoy there Trader! ‍‍⚓️

It’s Phil…

SPX is tightening up, and the Bollinger Bands are doing their best impression of a boa constrictor.

Price is stuck in one of the narrowest ranges in weeks, meaning a breakout is coming… but not just yet. So, what’s the plan? Pause the Tag ‘n Turn, pivot to range trading, and prepare for the inevitable move.

Let’s break it down!

 

⬇️⬇️⬇️ – keep scrolling for more in-depth analysis – ⬇️⬇️⬇️

 


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SPX Deeper Dive Analysis:

SPX Trading in a Tight Box

  • Bollinger Bands are pinching, signalling contraction.
  • DJX shows an even clearer squeeze, reinforcing expectations.
  • Price is stuck in a narrow high/low range – a setup for a breakout.

Time to Switch Gears

With this range-bound action, I’m pivoting to my six money-making patterns, focusing on the four range-trading setups:
1️⃣ Buy range lows for bullish opportunities.
2️⃣ Sell range highs for quick profit-taking.
3️⃣ Buy a breakout of range highs when momentum confirms.
4️⃣ Sell short a breakdown of range lows if the bears take control.

For now, I’m already positioned bullish, so a bullish breakout is preferred. But I’m keeping my bear hedge triggers intact in case things turn sour.

A Quick Drop Before a Breakout?

  • $ADD is at a bullish extreme, hinting that SPX may test the range low before any real move up.
  • This means a little downside shuffle before a breakout is very much on the cards.
  • If so, I’ll be adding to my bullish positions near the range low.

Taking a Birthday Break!

Since the market has decided to play the waiting game, I’m taking this as a sign to start my weekend early. Let’s see what unfolds next week – a breakout, a fake-out, or another squeeze!


Fun Fact:  Stock Market Birthday Anomaly?

Historically, the market has an upward bias during the week of a trader’s birthday – but only if they take the day off. (Okay, I may have made that up, but let’s see if it holds true!)

Real Fun Fact:

The shortest bear market in history lasted just 33 days – the COVID-19 crash in 2020. Even market meltdowns can be short and sweet (like cake).


Happy trading,

Phil

Less Brain More Gain

…and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece

 


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