A Wolfe Wave? Maybe. Another Win? Definitely. | SPX Analysis 16 April 2025

Ahoy there, Trader! ‍‍⚓️

It’s Phil…

What do you call it when you wake up, sip your tea, and realise the market is exactly where you thought it would be?

Answer: another day following the damn plan.

Yesterday’s price action? Snooze city. But tucked away inside that inside day was a lovely little income win, all thanks to those glorious GEX levels we’ve had our eyes glued to for weeks. 5400/5425 was once again the no-go zone. SPX tiptoed up, chickened out, and reversed politely on cue.

While retail traders yawned or second-guessed, we quietly hit our numbers. Again.

And while the surface was calm, beneath the charts… something’s stirring.

SPX Analysis 16 April 20225- cover

SPX Analysis 16 April 20225


⬇️⬇️⬇️ – keep scrolling for more in-depth analysis – ⬇️⬇️⬇️


SPX. 30 Minutes. One Trade. Job Done.

Trade less. Profit more. This isn’t trading… it’s income engineering.


“Same Setup. Same Result.”

Some traders chase action. We wait for systematic decision-making framework.

While the masses complained about a boring market day, we snagged another payday. The setup was textbook: resistance at 5400/5425, backed by GEX, ADD extremes, and the ol’ “…oh and…” wedge-in-the-making.

Throw in a mechanical bear Tag ‘n Turn and we were go for launch.

The overnight futures have started to crack the two-day range. One of the perks of short-dated expirations? You don’t need massive moves – just a push in your direction, and the premium does the work for you.

And here’s a wildcard for your “…oh and…” notebook:

Possible Wolfe Wave forming. If valid, we could be looking at a gravity slide down to 5000.

Is it the holy grail? Nah. But if it lines up with pulse bars and structure, I’ll be ready.


GEX Analysis Update

  • 5425 again

GEX Analysis 16 April 20225


Expert Insight: “Pattern First, Prediction Later”

Common Trading Mistake: Jumping on a trade just because the news made your pulse spike.

Fix It: Let your levels do the talking. GEX, ADD, Tag ‘n Turns… the market leaves breadcrumbs. Follow those, not the headlines.

  • Don’t predict. React with structure.

  • Trade setups, not emotions.

  • Repeat winners are born from repeatable processes.

ExpIn - Patterns first prediction later


Fun Market Fact

The Wolfe Wave pattern is named after Bill Wolfe and is often misunderstood as some esoteric mystery. But really? It’s just a glorified channel break with attitude.

It projects a reversal target based on converging trendlines, often in five-wave structures. The magic? The final wave usually slams to a specific line, called the EPA/ETA – and can happen quickly if volatility kicks in.

Most people don’t spot it until it’s too late. But if you know what to look for, it becomes a spicy tool in the AntiVestor arsenal.

FF - Wolf Waves - 1

Happy trading,
Phil
Less Brain, More Gain
…and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece

p.s. There are 3 ways I can help you…

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$3.00 In. $0.30 Out. Again.