The chip stocks sold on the news before the open. The rest of the market waited for the bell, then joined them. December S&P 500 futures are 3.23% lower, December Nasdaq 100 futures 4.93%, and the VIX curve has inverted.

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The Chips Fell Before the Bell. The Rest of the Market Joined at 09:30.

The votes are in and all eyes are on unemployment claims today and NFP tomorrow. The S&P, NazQuack and both uncles are pushing off their lows, crude jumped straight out the window to the range lows, and Bitcoin is back at range highs. Here’s where I see the next pause point on the S&P, and the Double Dip setups I’m working right now.

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Election Done, Bulls Dancing. Can 2 Jobs Numbers Crash the Party?

The first cash session after the midterms saw December WTI fall 8.29% on a day the wires read as less war. Spot gold rose 3.34% the same day, while the VIX fell 20.26% and the dollar index 0.39%.

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Oil Fell 8.3% on a Day the Wires Called Less War. Why Did Spot Gold Gain 3.3%?

The first cash session after the midterms split the market. The Dow rose 3.03%, the chip fund SOXX fell 3.14%, December WTI lost 8.29% and spot gold gained 3.34%. December Nasdaq 100 futures are 0.85% lower this morning.

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Democrats Took Congress. The Dow Rose 3.0% and the Chip Funds Fell 3.1%.

The midterms are decided and the market did what it always does, sold the uncertainty and bought the certainty. The S&P is back inside its range, my VIX trade is deflating, crude still looks heavy for $89, Bitcoin turns off the range lows, and the Double Dip flags a fresh shallow dip on XBI, the biotech.

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Sold on Uncertainty, Bought on Certainty: The S&P Gaps Back Into the Range

Democrats won both chambers overnight. December Nasdaq 100 futures fell 2.44% and recovered it. Spot gold rose 2.45%, mostly after 05:00 UTC, whilst the dollar index fell 0.47%.

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Nasdaq Futures Recovered a 2.4% Fall. Why Did Gold Keep Its 2.5%?

Democrats won both chambers in the midterms, flipping 7 Senate and 16 House seats by 06:30 UTC. Nasdaq 100 futures fell 2.44% during the count, then rose every hour to finish the morning 0.98% higher. Spot gold rose and stayed up.

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Democrats Flipped 7 Senate Seats and 16 House Seats. The Futures Fell 2.4% in the Count, Then Went Up.

Americans vote tonight and the cash market shuts first. SPX and the NazQuack are at support, ready to break or turn, and for a change I’m thinking knee jerk then bullish. Plus crude through $100 and Bitcoin back at range lows.

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The Midterms, Tonight. SPX Is Sat on Support, and I’ve Gone and Jinxed the Bull

December WTI fell 7.36% on Monday. The 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields fell 3bp; the 2-year rose 3bp to 4.59%, ending a three-session decline. The textbook expected the opposite order.

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Oil Fell 7.4% and the 2-Year Rose 3bp. Which End of the Curve Was Listening?

December WTI fell 7.36% on reports of Qatar-led US-Iran talks, and the 2-year Treasury yield rose 3bp. The Nasdaq 100 lost 1.39%, the Dow rose, and spot gold rose 1.90%.

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The Nasdaq 100 Opened 0.6% Higher and Spent the Day Correcting It