Micron printed the entire 2026 memory book pre-bell at floor prices: $41.5B revenue, record 84.9% margin, $100B contracted across sixteen deals. NQ +2.21%. Then PCE prints at 8:30 ET.

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Asia’s circuit-breaker market roared back 4% overnight, and US futures could only muster half a percent because nobody trades AI memory until Micron does the talking tonight. Gold and crude kept selling anyway.

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Monday’s quiet split tape resolved overnight into a broad risk-off, every US index red, gold and bitcoin falling with stocks, only crude left standing. We look at why everything sold off at once, and what Thursday’s PCE settles.

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The bond market declared inflation beaten on Thursday, breakevens at a 2026 low. Then Iran re-closed Hormuz, crude clawed back toward $80, and Thursday’s PCE is still coming.

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Nine of 18 Fed officials now pencil a 2026 hike, the committee that promised a cut in March. Stocks bought the dip back in a day. The only market open Friday did not.

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Wednesday the Fed turned a 2026 cut into a hike and knocked every asset down together. This morning only stocks bounced back, while gold, oil and bitcoin stayed on the floor. Why the split?

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