SPX Pops 2.8% on Surprise Tariff Truce | SPX Analysis 12 May 2025

Hedged by Accident? Still Paid by Design

Ahoy there, Trader! ‍‍⚓️

It’s Phil…

You either woke up to a panic… or to a profit.

This morning, markets are ripping higher – not because of earnings, not because of data – but because two superpowers shook hands over fondue in Switzerland.

If you’re feeling blindsided, you probably chased last week’s noise.
If you’re feeling calm, you’re probably following the AntiVestor way.

AntiVestor trader watches market gap calmly while others scramble.


⬇️⬇️⬇️ – keep scrolling for more in-depth analysis – ⬇️⬇️⬇️


SPX Is Rigged… In Your Favour (If You Know This).

The markets move. You get paid. No stress. No surprises.


SPX Market Briefing

The headlines are loud. So let’s talk facts.

Over the weekend, the United States and China agreed to a 90-day tariff rollback:

  • US duties drop from 145% to 30%

  • China drops theirs from 125% to 10%

  • Both sides now pretending to like each other until mid-August

Markets reacted the only way they know how: with euphoria.
SPX futures are up 2.8%. Nasdaq is flying. The Dow surged more than 900 points premarket.

Here’s what we did:

Nothing reckless. Nothing oversized. Nothing emotional.

The system turned bearish late last week, and we followed it – small, tactical, mechanical. Not a bet. Just a position.

And here’s the kicker:
I still held a few bullish positions from the prior bias. They were so far out-of-the-money, I didn’t even bother closing them.

Guess what?

They’re in profit – and my net exposure is green despite the initial bear swing going underwater.

So while the news makes others overreact, we get to do what we always do:
Let the market come to us.

The real money isn’t made chasing this 2.8% pop.
It’s made waiting for the next confirmed setup.

…and a little good luck always helps 😉

SPX Analysis 12 May 2025


 

Expert Insights:

Mistake: Jumping into emotional gap openings
AntiVestor Fix: Let others panic. Let your system speak.
Gap moves on news tend to retrace or fade – and even if they don’t, entering late is a coin toss. Smart traders wait. Pros wait. We wait.

Cartoon showing emotional vs rules-based trading under pressure.


Rumour Has It…

Whispers from the Swiss hotel bar claim the entire US-China agreement was sparked when both delegates reached for the same dessert spoon. One espresso and a bottle of Pinot later, tariffs were slashed and SPX gapped 2.8%.

This is entirely made-up satire. Probably!

Breaking scoops courtesy of the Financial Nuts Newswire-because who needs sanity?

Satirical depiction of a whimsical market trigger.


Fun Fact

According to CBOE data, Monday gap-ups following geopolitical “resolutions” average a +2.2% open… but only hold those gains 41% of the time by Friday’s close. Which means chasing the open? Not your best trade. Waiting for follow-through? That’s the edge.
IMAGE HERE

Meme of the Day

They chase. We collect. Calm wins.

Meme showing calm AntiVestor approach vs reactionary traders.


Happy trading,
Phil
Less Brain, More Gain
…and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece

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