Ahoy there, Trader! ⚓️
It’s Phil…
Well, the heehaw seesaw shenanigans continue…
Trump’s doing his best Oprah impression:
“You get a tariff! You get an exemption! Everyone gets… confusion!”
But SPX? Not impressed.
After Monday’s gap-up, we didn’t push higher.
We didn’t hold gains.
We didn’t confirm breakout.
Instead, we saw another turn at 5400/5425 –
That same GEX-backed level we’ve been talking about for weeks.
And that, my friends, was the signal.
⬇️⬇️⬇️ – keep scrolling for more in-depth analysis – ⬇️⬇️⬇️
SPX Pays Daily. If You Know This One Setup.
Pulse bar + credit spread = reliable income. It’s that simple.
Chain Reaction + Pattern Recognition
Let’s break it down.
News headline?
“Tariffs paused… for some.”
Cue emotional futures bounce.
Market reaction?
Gap higher.
Hit 5400.
Pause.
Reverse.
Technical setup?
-
Rising wedge
-
Minor consolidation
-
Textbook bearish structure
-
One of my 6 money-making patterns
System action?
-
Short-dated expiry trade triggered
-
0-DTEs to manage volatility
-
Leaning into structure, not opinion
Aditional Confirmation?
-
ADD sitting at a bullish extreme
-
Suggests more room down, not up
This isn’t a guess. It’s a repeatable edge.
And we took the trade.
What I’m Watching Now
✅ 5400/5425 = still the bull/bear line
✅ Rising wedge structure active
✅ Short-dated trades only – this market’s still flipping on a dime
✅ ADD extremes + lack of futures action suggest no fire yet under this bounce
If we stay below 5400 – I’m staying bearish.
And I’m hunting pullbacks and pulse bars on the short side like a trader who’s seen this dance before.
Because I have.
GEX Analysis Update
- 5400/5425(again)
Expert Insights: Patterns > Predictions
Mistake:
Assuming a breakout is “real” just because of news or a gap.
Fix:
Recognise and trust pattern structure.
The rising wedge isn’t just a drawing – it’s a time-tested money-making setup.
Combine that with ADD and GEX, and you’ve got alignment.
Want to win consistently?
Stop naming candles & patterns. Start trusting structure.
Fun Fact
Did you know?
The Advance-Decline Line (ADD) hitting a bullish extreme while SPX stalls is one of the strongest contrarian signals for a short-term top.
It means breadth is overstretched, but price isn’t expanding.
Translation?
The rocket ran out of fuel at 5400.
Happy trading,
Phil “You Get a Tariff! But I Get the Trade” Newton
Less Brain, More Gain
…and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece
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