The Nasdaq-100 had its largest fall in 30 sessions and 59% of it arrived after the inflation print was already an hour old. High yield credit, asked to confirm a debt story, moved a third of 1 per cent.

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The bear is packed away and the bull cycle is in effect, so naturally the Dow ran bull premarket, then gave a fuck you bear move right at the open, retreating 100%. Here’s where that leaves SPX, Crude Oil and Bitcoin, plus the Premium Poppers the team banked.

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Two sessions running, NYSE issue breadth and NYSE volume breadth pointed opposite ways. Then they swapped sides overnight. One of those two instruments is measuring something the other cannot see.

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More NYSE stocks rose than fell on Tuesday and more NYSE volume went into the ones that fell. Monday did exactly the opposite. One of those two days is lying.

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The bear séance is over. Midterm October has historically been the best month of the year for the Dow and S&P 500, Uncle Dow is already leading the charge, and breadth sits at the lower extremes that marked this year’s turns. Plus the SPX, Crude Oil and Bitcoin reads.

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On Monday the NYSE’s advance-decline line and its up-down volume line finished on opposite sides of parity. The textbook says volume confirms breadth. Here is what it means when it refuses.

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