Overnight futures up slightly – bulls and bears can battle this one out – anyone’s game at the open
GEX all negative with key levels at 6,700 and 6,600 – gap up to 6,650 and trade down to 6,600 fits the current read
Nvidia GTC today, Jensen Huang keynotes at 2pm ET – markets need a tech catalyst and today delivers one
FOMC Wednesday is the real pivot – dot plot revision matters more than the hold itself

Friday the 13th delivered early – Brent above $100, 2026 lows hit Thursday, bears back in full control of both SPX and RUT
VIX held the range highs all week – that was the signal that the mid-week recovery wasn’t going to stick
PCE drops at 08:30 ET today – headline 2.7% expected, core near 3%, Fed meets March 17-18, Goldman now says September for the first cut
BTC breaking out of its range on the hourly – 6MMPs pattern #5 in play, targets marked, grinding sideways overall but the setup is there

IEA dropped 400 million barrels – biggest emergency release in history – Goldman immediately said it can’t close the gap – Iran said $200/barrel
Higher low or dead cat bounce – the broken record plays again – what matters is the hard right edge, not the hindsight view
6 trades, 6 wins yesterday despite a scrappy session – most closed in the live sessions Monday and Wednesday
WTI back above $90 after crashing to $77 Tuesday on a deleted Navy escort post – this market is being moved by tweets and deletions

Oracle up 11% after hours – revenue +22%, cloud +44%, RPO +325% – first time in 15 years both organic revenue and EPS grew above 20% in a single quarter – bears duly noted
CPI at 8:30 ET this morning – 2.5% YoY expected, pre-conflict data, the oil surge doesn’t register until March prints
Range trading view: breakout, retest of range middle, early bears stopped out, price heading back out – Phil staying bearish on the swings
Yesterday’s poppers: 6 trades, 5 wins, 1 loss – the day trades continue to not care about the macro debate

Trump told CBS the war was “pretty much” complete – Brent cratered 7% from $119 to $91 overnight, futures now +0.4%
Markets doing what markets do – U-turning at the range lows, Sunday’s gap downs fully recovered and then some
VIX retreated from above 30 but still flirting with range highs – tensions not gone, just paused
Yesterday’s Poppers: frustrating start with 2 BO losses, walked away, came back, 3rd BO bullish on SPX then a VWAP trade – net positive

S&P futures -1.6% at 6,608, Nasdaq -2%, Dow -1.3% – nobody is arguing with the direction this morning
NFP printed -92,000 on Friday – worst print since the pandemic – and CPI lands Wednesday with the war’s first fingerprints on it
SPX is outside the range, RUT has broken its longer-term rising channel and hit the 10% down mark from recent highs
Premium Poppers keeping the scorecard green whilst the world rearranges itself around us