Bear Swing Trade Kicks Off – A 90.2% Win – Bear Swing Part 1

Ahoy there Trader! ‍‍⚓️

It’s Phil…

The best kind of trade? The ones that work while you’re off enjoying life.

This bearish swing trade was the first of four I was able to stack into, and it followed a textbook failed breakout trigger.

The plan? Let price move from the range highs to the range lows, and that’s exactly what happened. As price hugged the lower Bollinger Band, I gave the bearish trade time to develop, holding off on any bullish entries until pulse bars and a V-shaped price action reaction confirmed a reversal.

The result? A 90.2% return, all while I was off enjoying an anniversary getaway in The Lakes with Mrs N.

Now that’s my kind of trading. Let’s break it down.


⬇️⬇️⬇️ – keep scrolling for more in-depth analysis – ⬇️⬇️⬇️


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Deeper Dive Analysis:

This trade started as the first of four bearish swing trades, stacking into a broader move down. Using the failed breakout trigger and the bull hedge setup from earlier, I entered this bear trade as price re-entered the range, expecting a move from the highs to the lows.

The Trade Setup – Bearish Breakdown in Motion

  • Failed breakout trigger confirmed – price re-entered the range
  • Lower Bollinger Band provided structure for the downtrend
  • Bear trade initiated as part of a multi-leg swing strategy

 

As price started to hug the lower Bollinger Band, I opted to let the bearish trade develop fully, holding off on any bullish reversals until I saw:

  • Pulse bars indicating a momentum shift
  • A V-shaped price action reaction signaling a strong turn

 

Trade Execution – Entry, Target, Exit

  • Collected $3.05 in credit on entry
  • Held the trade as price moved toward the range lows
  • Exited for $0.30, locking in a 90.2% return

 

Why This Trade Worked So Well:

  • Failed breakouts provide high-probability setups – a classic pattern in my 6 money-making strategies
  • Bollinger Bands helped structure the trade – price respecting the lower band meant the trend was intact
  • Patience allowed the move to play out fully – instead of jumping to bullish too soon, I let the bear trade run

Final Takeaways:

  • Bearish moves can be highly profitable when structured correctly
  • Patience is key – knowing when to hold & when to exit is everything
  • Trading should support your lifestyle – not the other way around

This trade was a perfect example of why I love the SPX Income System—it allows me to trade effectively while still enjoying life.


 

Fun Fact

Did you know? The biggest single-day percentage drop in the Dow Jones happened on October 19, 1987, when the market crashed 22.6% in a single session. The reason? A mix of algorithmic trading, portfolio insurance, and pure market panic.

The Lesson? Even the most structured markets can fall apart in a flash, which is why having a system that manages risk is critical—whether in a one-day crash or a slow bearish breakdown like we just traded.


Happy trading,

Phil

Less Brain More Gain

…and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece

 


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