The SPX bull breakout reached its target and the Tag n Turn tool is flat again. A bear setup has already flagged, and it’s tipped to skip. Meanwhile 2 indexes print new highs and 2 don’t. Same story, same handful of AI stocks.

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The Breakout Hit Its Target. Now I’m Flat and Waiting.

Three US indices closed at records on the windows held on Tuesday whilst more Nasdaq stocks hit one-year lows than one-year highs. Three measures of the same session gave three answers, and the gap between them is measurable.

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Why Did 3 Records Arrive With 56 New Lows Attached?

Three US indices closed at records on Tuesday. Underneath them 2,436 Nasdaq stocks fell, 56 hit one-year lows against 53 new highs, and the whole gain arrived before the opening bell.

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3 Records Closed and 56 Nasdaq Names Hit 1-Year Lows

The bull keeps defying gravity, the breakout is confirmed, and my opinion is clearly bull shit. Today’s plan is 3 words long. Plus NazQuack at a new all-time high, 3 butterflies in under an hour and 1 missing bear.

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The Bull Keeps Defying Gravity. My Opinion Is Clearly Bull Shit

Money got dearer at every maturity on Monday. One exchange advanced on a clear majority of its own names and the other declined on one. The textbook does not have two answers.

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Why Did 2 Exchanges Read 1 Rate Move 2 Opposite Ways?

The S&P 500 gained 0.6634% and 1,403 NYSE issues fell. Breadth read 0.914, new lows beat new highs on both exchanges, and the 20-year closed at 5.70% into three auctions.

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103 Stocks Hit 1-Year Lows on the Exchange That Rose 1.05%

I’ve been banging the big bear drum for far too many weeks with nothing to show for it, and the lazy bears are creeping in on the Dow and Russ again. Last time that happened we got a Crash Upward, 12-20% straight up. Here’s why I’m accounting for one, where SPX triggers, and how crude paid me while going nowhere.

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Weeks on the Bear Drum, Nothing to Show. Now I Have to Plan for a Crash Upward.

September produced 29,000 jobs and revisions removed 60,000 from July and August. The two-year closed five basis points higher. We try to work out what the front end thinks it knows.

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5 Minutes of Relief, Then 6 Hours of Second Thoughts

September delivered 29,000 jobs, unemployment of 4.2%, and revisions that removed 60,000 from July and August. The two-year Treasury responded by closing five basis points higher.

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27 New Highs, 10 of 11 Sectors Up, and Unemployment at 4.2%

My bear’gasm lasted the morning, again, and we are being spun around once more. SPX is back inside the range, NFP could be fireworks or sput sput fizz, crude oil has locked in a first profit, and BTC looks like it wants to join the party.

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My Bear’gasm Lasted the Morning. Again.