Why SPX’s middle-of-the-road bull swing still has 7,600 in the tank.
What Uncle Russ’s cautionary range setup means for entries, and where to zoom in.
Why crude’s overnight break is a break back into prior lows in disguise.
What the Almanac’s Christmas In July stat means for the next 12 sessions.
Samsung just booked $58.4 billion in one quarter by selling AI memory at 60% to 89% higher prices, the largest single-quarter operating profit any tech company has ever reported. Nasdaq futures opened red. Let’s walk why, and what the Fed is likely to see first.
...Samsung just booked the largest quarterly operating profit any technology company has ever reported by charging its own customers 60% to 89% more for memory they cannot ship AI without. Nasdaq futures opened red into that print. The tape has an opinion about whose margin that was.
...How the same morning setup evolved from gut-feel pattern recognition in 2001 to a data-validated, software-flagged system 24 years later.
...$430 guaranteed. A $930 lottery ticket still on the table when the bell rang.
...Wednesday was a good day to take off. Concert was jolly good fun. Members smashed it on the Poppers without me.
SPX swings still bullish and paying out. RUT has flipped bear off the NATH.
Crude filled the gap. Only the $65 target remains. Swings cashed out, waiting for the next entry.
NFP Thursday could be the catalyst. Dow and RUT printed double tops. I’m leaning bear.
VIX bidding back in three sleeps before payrolls is a small number with a load-bearing direction. Today’s Macro Edge sits with what the hedge bucket is quietly admitting, and whether the front end will corroborate.
...Payrolls and Tesla deliveries share the 8:30 ET clock this Thursday, the market shuts Friday, and the only instrument that admitted a view overnight was the VIX, ticking back in three sleeps early.
...Tuesday closed out June with a corker. Shortened week ahead, NFP Thursday, 4-day weekend incoming.
SPX riding the upper Bollinger Band. MACD-v in bullish extreme, skip bearish Tag ‘n Turn setups.
RUT still in the BB pinch. Wait for the breakout, or watch the 10-min 1-DTE play.
Premium Popper banked it: SPX DOUBLE (+4) at 2x, RUT PLUS (+3) at 1.5x. Easy day.
The S&P closed the best Q2 since 2020. Bitcoin hit a seven-month low on the same screen. VIX took the day’s biggest move at minus 6.80%, three sleeps before NFP. Should it?
...