The AI trade got a swift kick, Uncle Russ slipped into correction territory, and Don Bear collected on the S&P and NazQuack. My opinion said bull, the data said bear, and the data got paid. Plus crude heading for its range high target, Bitcoin pushing off the channel low, and the Premium Poppers popping on SPX and RUT.

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Just When the Bull Pulls Me Out, the Bear Drags Me Back In. Tribute Was Fully Paid.

The Nasdaq-100 had its largest fall in 30 sessions and 59% of it arrived after the inflation print was an hour old. The credit market that should have confirmed a debt story moved a third of 1 per cent.

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Why Did High Yield Barely Move on the Worst Nasdaq-100 Day in 30 Sessions?

The Nasdaq-100 had its largest fall in 30 sessions and 59% of it arrived after the inflation print was already an hour old. High yield credit, asked to confirm a debt story, moved a third of 1 per cent.

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The Nasdaq-100’s Worst Day in 30 Sessions, and High Yield Moved 0.36%

The bear is packed away and the bull cycle is in effect, so naturally the Dow ran bull premarket, then gave a fuck you bear move right at the open, retreating 100%. Here’s where that leaves SPX, Crude Oil and Bitcoin, plus the Premium Poppers the team banked.

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I Packed Away the Bear Kit. Then a Bear Walked Past the Window, Juggling.

Two sessions running, NYSE issue breadth and NYSE volume breadth pointed opposite ways. Then they swapped sides overnight. One of those two instruments is measuring something the other cannot see.

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Why Did 1,463 Rising Stocks Attract Fewer Shares Than 1,222 Falling Ones?

More NYSE stocks rose than fell on Tuesday and more NYSE volume went into the ones that fell. Monday did exactly the opposite. One of those two days is lying.

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The Dow Gave Back 647.22 Points and 1,463 Stocks Still Rose

The bear séance is over. Midterm October has historically been the best month of the year for the Dow and S&P 500, Uncle Dow is already leading the charge, and breadth sits at the lower extremes that marked this year’s turns. Plus the SPX, Crude Oil and Bitcoin reads.

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Stop Chanting for the Bear. Wipe Off the Pentagram, It’s DeJar-Moo Season.

On Monday the NYSE’s advance-decline line and its up-down volume line finished on opposite sides of parity. The textbook says volume confirms breadth. Here is what it means when it refuses.

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Why Did the Money Go Into 1,270 Stocks When 1,435 Were Falling?

Monday’s index print said nothing happened. Underneath it 1,207 more stocks fell than rose, the Dow and the Nasdaq-100 finished 1.086014 percentage points apart, and the money that was moving went into the biggest names only.

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4,409 Stocks Fell, 8 of 11 Sectors Rose, and the S&P Called It 0.06%

Consumer sentiment fell 1.8 points to 46.3 and the 2-year closed 5 basis points higher the same afternoon. The shape of the curve’s move tells us which end of the market repriced.

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Why Was Money 5 Basis Points Dearer on a 46.3 Sentiment Print?