Since the 20 April crash higher, the number of stocks above their 20 period moving average has fallen from 83% to around 40%, and it is sat near 65% now. The index has kept climbing anyway. Inside: the sentiment chart, the SPX breakout setup, and why the ETF poppers beat the cash yesterday.

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Fewer And Fewer Stocks Are Carrying This Market Higher

July wholesale prices printed zero and the S&P 500 cleared 7,800 for the first time. Every company that published audited numbers into that record was sold. We work out why.

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The Record That Nobody Who Filed Accounts Enjoyed

The S&P 500 cleared 7,800 for the first time on a wholesale inflation print of zero. Inside that record, Cisco fell 8.4% after the best revenue quarter it has ever booked.

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7,800 Falls, And The AI Complex Sends Its Regrets

SPX managed 25 points yesterday and the 3 day average is now under 40, which would have counted as a spicy day even in the 2008 crash. Meanwhile the VIX sold off hard as though we had trended 50 points straight up. Inside: why the swings are still on the sidelines, and the RUT breakout that needs a pullback first.

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A 25 Point Day On SPX And A VIX That Sold Off Like A Crash

July CPI matched consensus on all 4 readings. The S&P moved 20 points, VIX hit a cycle low, and bitcoin volatility hit a 2-year low. Then the dollar quietly took the whole move back.

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4 Bullseyes and a Coma

Compression continues across the indexes, but the Dow may be stepping forward to lead the bear charge with a clear 123 pattern. SPX ran the range highs again and ground lower all day, and a push below 7700 hands over the breakout attempt. Inside: the RUT coil, the ETH/BTC flip, and how the profit got locked without a butterfly.

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Compression Tightens Again As The Dow Steps Forward To Lead The Bear Charge

Brent printed $90.03 and September hike pricing slipped 2 points. The day before, a smaller crude move bought 10. We walk the dots and land honestly short of an answer.

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If a $90 Barrel Cannot Move the Fed Path, What Can?

Brent hit $90.03 on nothing being signed, then handed the high back on the day 6 people were killed at sea. September pricing moved 2 points the wrong way. CPI lands at 08:30.

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The Barrel Got to $90 and Nobody Answered

The 3 day ATR is around 40 points and the Bollinger Bands are pinched at their tightest contraction in 120 bars. Price is wound tight across every stock index, SPX is dinging off the upper edge of the range, and RUT is ping ponging until something gives. Inside: the swings, the crypto read, and why sideways still hits target.

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Bollinger Bands Pinched Tightest In 120 Bars As Indexes Wind Up