57% of stocks are below the 200, Uncle Russ is off 8.1% and the S&P is still sat near all time highs. The SPX V-pattern has become a range, Bitcoin meanders, and the Premium Poppers keep paying.

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The House of Cards Is Crumbling. It Just Won’t Tumble.

Confidence missed by 7.3 points and the front end of the curve rallied. The 20-year cheapened anyway, the 5-year moved 0, and equities took the long end’s side of the argument.

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Why Did the Equity Market Side With the 20-Year and Not the 2-Year?

Confidence missed by 7.3 points and job openings fell for a third month. The front end rallied, 20-year money got dearer anyway, and the 5-year refused to take a view. The index called it a 0.17% day. The Russell closed the quarter at its floor.

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123 New Lows, 12 New Highs, and an Index That Fell 0.17%

Up a day, down a day, and a handful of stocks doing the lifting. SPX’s 7660 is holding for the moment, Bitcoin needs 85,000, and I’m waiting to see the logging truck.

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Reality Left the Building With Elvis. I’m Waiting for the Logging Truck.

Monday’s tape raised its odds of another rate increase and sold gold by 3.95% in the same session. The textbook says those two things disagree. We go looking for which one is telling the truth.

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Why Did the Inflation Hedge Fall 4% on an Inflation Day?

The 2-year jumped eleven basis points on Monday as the market raised its odds of another increase. Gold spot, which exists for that exact risk, fell 3.95%. Somebody is wrong.

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11 Basis Points Priced a Hike. Gold Paid for It With 4%.

SPX is flipping off the 7780 zone again, Uncle Russ keeps up the lazy decline, and my fast bear move is back on the table. Here’s why I’d welcome it with October around the corner.

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7780 Said No Again. Fingers Crossed for the Big Bear Drop

The Dow gained 479 points on Friday and 10 NYSE stocks made a 52-week high. The front end fell 6 basis points and the 20-year closed at September’s highest anyway.

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Who Was That 479-Point Rally Actually For?

The Dow added 479 points on Friday and 10 NYSE stocks made a 52-week high. Another 93 made a new low. The 20-year closed at September’s highest and the weekend removed the rest.

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479 Points Said Rally. 10 Stocks Turned Up.

Markets tanked, Iran talked peace, markets pumped, and my head came clean off. VIX played peekaboo with 16, Gold barely clung on, and Bitcoin, of all things, turned out to be the voice of sanity. Here’s how my SPX and RUT bear swings are locked, and what BTC needs for the next add-in.

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Bitcoin Is Now the Sane One. Book Me Into Arkham.