PFZ or Bust – One Line Separates Bulls From Bears
Ahoy there, Trader! ⚓️
It’s Phil…
Sometimes the best setups are the simplest:
Clean bias.
Clear trigger.
One target.
We’ve just locked in Swing Trade #1 with a full bearish lean – and that means it’s time to watch the PFZ* at 6400 and hunt short setups back to 6350.
*PFZ = Pulse Flip Zone
Today’s chart? All signal, no noise. Kiss the trendline and press on.
SPX Doesn’t Need You To Be Right. Just Consistent.
Pulse bar tells you when. Credit spreads handle the rest.
SPX PreMarket Briefing: 29 July 2025
⚙️ System Status:
We’ve got a clean slate and a new setup in play.
Swing Trade #1 is officially active – Bearish Bias.
The 30-minute chart has flipped, and we’ve now got a working bear swing setup pointing lower… unless the PFZ (Previously hedge trigger) flips us back to bull.
Current Map:
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Bearish Bias Active – Swing Trade #1 is now the primary setup
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PFZ (Pulse Flip Zone): 6400 is still the ceiling. No close above, no change in directional logic.
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Bear Target: 6350. That’s both the Bollinger Band low and the rising trendline – leaning in like it’s about to kiss.
What to Watch:
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Any fresh 30-min pulse bars to guide new swing entries
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Support reaction at 6350
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PFZ flip above 6400 = Hedge/Manage + Bull setup re-activation
AntiVestor Truth:
You don’t need to predict the reversal. You just need to know where the line is. That’s what the PFZ is for – and until that’s breached, the setup is clear.
In Other News…
Real Talk? More like “Diplomatic Decaf”
Markets take a cold shower after last week’s macro mimosas
Asia tapped out
MSCI Asia slipped 0.4%, as traders finally read the fine print on the so-called “peace deal.” Turns out, it’s less treaty and more “terms and conditions apply.” Nikkei and Hang Seng blinked, rolled over, and asked for a do-over.
Barclays goes full casino
Banks rallied like it was bonus season in Vegas. Barclays made a killing off the tariff tantrum tape bombs, then threw £1.4 bn worth of sugar at shareholders like a piñata exploded. Moral of the story? Chaos is bullish-if you’re the dealer.
Brent takes a nap
Oil refused to move. Brent hung around $70 like it forgot why it was invited. OPEC, inflation, supply chain? Irrelevant. Right now it’s just reacting to macro gossip like your aunt reading horoscope predictions.
FX wrecking ball smashes Switzerland
Sika’s earnings got body slammed by the dollar, proving once again that forex can ruin more than your backpacking trip to Prague. Industrial execs now checking EURUSD hourly and blaming Jay Powell for everything from margin compression to their broken Nespresso machine.
U.S. futures play dead
Flat as a pancake at a Fed brunch. Traders are in full “wait and yawn” mode ahead of Powell’s mood ring reading. Positioning? Careful. Confidence? Minimal. Risk appetite? Missing, presumed ghosted.
Expert Insights:
“Support and resistance zones are dynamic – not decorative.”
The Bollinger Band low and rising trendline might align, but only one matters for system trades: the BB. That’s the backbone of our swing logic. The trendline? Just a flirtation.
[Source: AntiVestor – “Swing Trading Doesn’t Care About Your Trendline”]
Meme of the Day:
Happy trading,
Phil
Less Brain, More Gain
…and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece
p.s. There are 3 ways I can help you…
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