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#1 Stock To Hold Forever… (No, Really!)

#1 Stock To Hold Forever…!

I saw this in my email inbox this morning and I said to myself;

“Self, what a stupid fecking thing to do “Firstly, why would I want to lock up my capital in a stock for the rest of my natural born life?

Secondly, why would I want to lock up my capital in a stock for the rest of my natural born life? Thirdly… You get where Im going with this, don’t you?

Now don’t get me wrong, I fully understand that there are more strategies you can shake a stick at and buying to hold long term for long term growth and dividend payments is one of them…

…but holding till you pass on from this mortal coil is a little retarded and Im sure you would agree

The way I like to spend my time and invest my capital is slow and lazy while at the same time seeing results that can yield in the next 7-10 days and anywhere up to the next 1-month
My students do not have time sit in front of the screen all day long and neither do they want to do it (nor me anymore)

Taking advantage of “Market Normal” every day is better than trying to put all your eggs in one basket and hope that it runs to the hills

Do me a favour, start taking active control of your own investment decisions spend time doing that efficiently and effectively which makes it a low maintenance activity

Then you can start enjoying yourself and seeing the fruits of your modest behaviour every month

Happy Trading
Phil Newton
ps – What are you trading…? 

Come and join the active investors group and share your thoughts

 


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Not All Treasure Is Silver & Gold, Mate!

Not All Treasure Is Silver & Gold, Mate!

Gold huh! (I’m tempted to follow that with – “What is is good for?”)

I don’t think it would be a #1 hit

GLD – aka Gold ETF based on the weekly chart this time…

Looks kinda interesting

As a stock trader I’ve got to pick answer a few questions and pick a direction

  • Will it break out…?
  • Will is keep ranging…?
  • Will is do a bit of both…?
  • Will Cameron Diaz return my calls…?

It is pretty tough especially when you have to figure out the timing of a trade as well as where you place a stop loss for risk management

Then you sit nervously looking at your real time PnL statements wondering if you will be right

  •  or when you will be proved wrong
  •  or how many time you might have to reenter to be right… [Grrr]

However, as a stocks options trader I can be bullish and bearish at the same time

  • and not worry about where my protective stop loss is placed
  • and be right if price goes up or down

Just think about that for a moment…

Thats quite an amazing prospect, right…?

Then, as long as price moves as you think it will, you get paid

“…batten down the hatches ship mates… pieces of eight for everyone…”

This is just one of the strategies I teach my students

>>Join the Facebook Group
https://www.facebook.com/groups/394060474007224/

 


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Oil To Surge To $100… (Really!?!)

Doom & Gloom For Energy & Oil… (again!)

Not a day goes by without someone talking energy down (…again)

Personally I think it has bottomed out, there might be a little wiggle down to scare the early bulls but the reality is its cost money to enjoy Texas Tea

Its a physical commodity and its in demand constantly

…and a dozen other things which bore the crap out of me

Ultimately the crazy is just about over (unless clean free energy becomes available en mass tomorrow)

Longer term (6-12 months) I think $50 pb is a good low end price – although one pundit a student told me about is piping up about $100+ pb and maybe up towards $200 pb in the next 2 years.

It might do

I cant honest disagree with him, although $100(ish) seems more likely in my mind

What ever happens it will require an abnormal thing to happen – like some type of manipulation of the supply/demand to manipulate the prices… crazy right? but thats whats happening

It will be like trying to turn an ocean liner around in a narrow canal…

Or turning a donkey around on a spiral stair case (one for the Pratchett fans)

…meaning it will take some time

So while I wait for that to happen I will resume trading market normal conditions and reap what I sow looking for high expectation set ups of small dollar movements

They happen every day

What are you trading…? hit reply or join the group 

==========

Until then
Happy Trading

Phil


Still need a little more help?

Is No News Good News…?

So, I’m sitting here trying to find something interesting to talk about and I start trawling the news and articles

I catch myself doing the thing that I have gone to great lengths to not do for more than a decade…

…and that is to not look at the news and articles and do my own thing.

Crazy as it may seem, but I really do not give two hoots what other people think (at least most of the time)

It is far better to keep your head down and carry on with the thing your good at

I do find looking at the other stuff mostly distracting and 99% of the time a complete waste of time, from the point of view that it takes me away from my own direction

That said its worth taking a peak at what is out there so that you can keep your own skills sharp but do not get distracted to the point of procrastination – because that is what it is

My method when in investigation mode is to skim the headlines. Most of anything you will need to know is in the headline, the first paragraph and the last paragraph

This means that if you need to dip in a little deeper on an interesting topic – you are not wasting time on something that is not all that interesting

This is pretty much the state of todays stock selections as you will see on the video in the FB group – uninteresting

Look at this another way – when you have a method or several methods that work for you and you are seeing good consistent results – then its unlikely that you need more opinions to get in the way of execution of your solid investment methods

With that said – I will revert back to not finding something interesting to comment on today as there is nothing interesting to comment on today

Have Fun & happy hump day

What are you trading…? hit reply or join the group
Stocks Im looking at today are;

…not that interesting… go have some fun today

Video update is in the Facebook Group

==========
 
Until then
Happy Trading

Phil

 


Still need a little more help?

How Are You Preparing For Next Week…?

Ahoy there Traders,

I remember growing up having this mantra drilled in to me…

The 5P’s – which were –
Prior Planning Prevents Poor Performance

Planning for me used to mean that I would spend hours at the charts trying to glean some type of insight
(and usually involved praying for some divine intervention on more than one occasion)

It took me a long time to realise that time at desk didn’t always equal quality results

Having a solid strategy allows you to plan in the most efficient and effective manor

What I’ll be doing this weekend is to look for some trending type of stocks that I can sell the rally or buy the dips on

For this I’ll be using the weekly charts for a change and I will also be using the [No.3 of 5] of the strategies I like to use to help assess for active investing opportunities

As you know I have a universe of stocks that is around 300(ish) and is way too impractical to look at every stock chart to make a manual visual assessment

To help speed this up (dramatically so) I’ll start by looking at the stocks in table form or a watch list

I’ll then use the percentage change over – 200-bars, 60-bars then 10-bars
[You can of course do this on any time frame]

Visually I will be able to see what is trending longer term – shorter term and what is moving down in the last several bars which in this case would be weeks.

From there I can make the usual assessments of seeing if price is currently at a logical stopping point as well as if there is a sign of exhaustion

Most importantly I will be able to ensure that my time is used efficiently and that there is a logical short list of stocks for me to assess going into next week

Critically it is also a process I can replicate and you can replicate

So, thats my plan for the weekend

What is your routine…?

Come and join the active investors group and share your thoughts

==========

Until then
Happy Trading
Phil

 


Still need a little more help?

Revealed: The Solution Your #1 Stock Trading Mistake & How You Fix It In The Next 7-days

In the previous article you were introduced to the idea that you are making one of the single biggest mistakes you can make with your trading

Finally Revealed:- 

The single biggest mistake you are making is not self managing even a small porfolio of short term investment ideas or trades

The usual obstacles are;

  1. Not enough capital to trade more than 1-2 stocks at a time
  2. Not enough time to research opportunities

Thankfully these two major hurdles dont have to be obstacles any more and it is a simple adjustment to make to switch from more traditional trading or investing and moving over to stock options

This shift to stock option will remove the old capital intensive way of trading and free up your capital to build a portfolio of stocks and fix the big problem of having all your eggs in one basket

New to Stock Options? This article will most definately help

It is a simple adjustment to make and that is to switch from more traditional trading or investing and moving over to stock options

I also want to make it clear that this is NOT binary options

What are stock options?

While the following description of Stock options is not quite accurate it does help to introduce to you the logic and the idea behind them which is comparable to many things you are likely already familiar with

Stock options can be considered similar to a deposit which you are likely already familiar with in many different areas of your life

When buying a stock option in the hope that the stock will increase in value you can essentially reserve 100 shares and decide if you want them later on in the month or year depending on how long you reserve them for

As such you place a deposit (aka call option) at a set agreed price for a set agreed amount of time

Should the stock price rise – your option will also increase (proportionally) in value

You can cash-in (sell it back to the market) your now increased in value deposit (option) without having to wait until the agreed date (expiration)

Here is one of the best bits…

Should you be wrong and the stock does the opposite and move lower in value – your deposit (option) will of course be proportionally worth less

BUT – you will never lose more than you deposit no-matter-what.

Yup – that is correct. The stock can go to zero value and you will Never lose more than the deposits (options) initial value – EVER!

Stock Options Check List

Bellow is a list of things you need to know to help you with your first options trade. There are many ways to buy & sell and mix-n-match them in combination with each other to give you all sorts of fancy sounding names

This Stock Options Check List will help you replace the more traditional buy or sell short stock which is likely what you are most familiar with and likely doing already to place your trades

Ready? Good – here we go

Which way is the stock going to go next?

I would assume that you already know how to pick a stock and can figure out which way its going as to which way you think it will continue to go next to place your trade

When you have that figured out you need to replace what you would normally do with stock options

1 – Calls or Puts? 

Calls = Up & Puts = Down

I like to think of it like making a phone call – you call somebody up and when you finished you put the phone down

  • If you are bullish on a stock you would BUY a CALL
  • If you are bearish on a stock you would BUY a PUT

*Notice that in both bullish & bearish assumptions you BUY an option

2 – Which strike price?

Lets just keep this simple – I like to use 1-strike out-the-money in the premium stock alerts

Lets break this down

  • A strike price is the dollar amount you agree to reserve your shares at
  • Out-the-money refers to where the strike price is compared to the current stock price e.g. If the stock is trading at $50 and you want the stock to go up and you buy a call at the strike price of $51 – this is out-the-money as the stock price will have to move up and above $51 (which is when it turns in-the-money)

3 – How much time do you need?

The way I trade is short term in that I swing trade and my positions last on average 7-to-10-days. If Im wrong I like to have some extra time in there so I can “get a do-over” or a “go-around”

Typically 30-to-45-days gives me plenty of time to be right IF Im initially wrong

I will usually start with the nearest Monthly Option that has around 30-to-45-days before it will expire

If you need more time you buy more time – I will rarely buy less time on my options even if I dont need it – remember the back up place – give yourself time to be right

That is all

Now understand that there is a whole lot more to the world of options – this isnt even a primer on options – but it is all the information you need to replace your long or short stock trading and replace them with options and ultimately you will Never be stopped out EVER again.

I’ll see you on the other side
Phil

p.s. A quick reminder of what you should have got from this article – and if you haven’t get in touch and I’ll fix that for you

>> The Solution – Stop putting all your eggs in one basket and use a significantly more capital efficient method of trading with stock Options and nurture a stock options portfolio

>> The Real Secret to Trading Success – Developing a portfolio of stocks means you will never be reliant on being right and hoping you pick the right stock – A portfolio allows you the luxury of not stressing about being right & starting to manage your stock trading as a business. This is the single method that is responsible for all my results ( remember 80.4% win rate?) and all my student success stories

>> On-Demand Training Course – Some of the ideas I mention may be new to you and to help with that there is a full step-by-step training to help you apply the solution and use the secret effectively. You can access the training here – Or if you require a more detailed 1-2-1 mentorship – Click Here

>> Daily Commentary – I like to send you a daily commentary of what I think will happen in the markets along with what stocks Im looking at as well as practical examples of how I find stocks to trade

>> Quick Start Strategy – I’ll show you what I trade – How I trade – When I trade – All broken down so you can follow along

>> 20-minutes – The best part is that most of the time applying the solutions I mention takes around 20-mins and certainly less than 60-mins per day if you want to spend a little longer

>> Done For You Research – Need some help with the stock research? I send out a daily stock alert which outlines exactly what Im trading for that day – You get sent 1-stock alert per day so you can follow along

 


Still need a little more help?

CheckList – Never Get Stopped Out EVER Again | Stocks & Stock Options

New to Stock Options? This article will help

In the previous article You were introduced to the idea that it was possible to Never Be Stopped Out EVER Again

It is a simple adjustment to make and that is to switch from more traditional trading or investing and moving over to stock options

I also want to make it clear that this is NOT binary options

What are stock options?

While the following description of Stock options is not quite accurate it does help to introduce to you the logic and the idea behind them which is comparable to many things you are likely already familiar with

Stock options can be considered similar to a deposit which you are likely already familiar with in many different areas of your life

When buying a stock option in the hope that the stock will increase in value you can essentially reserve 100 shares and decide if you want them later on in the month or year depending on how long you reserve them for

As such you place a deposit (aka call option) at a set agreed price for a set agreed amount of time

Should the stock price rise – your option will also increase (proportionally) in value

You can cash-in (sell it back to the market) your now increased in value deposit (option) without having to wait until the agreed date (expiration)

Here is one of the best bits…

Should you be wrong and the stock does the opposite and move lower in value – your deposit (option) will of course be proportionally worth less

BUT – you will never lose more than you deposit no-matter-what.

Yup – that is correct. The stock can go to zero value and you will Never lose more than the deposits (options) initial value – EVER!

Stock Options Check List

Bellow is a list of things you need to know to help you with your first options trade. There are many ways to buy & sell and mix-n-match them in combination with each other to give you all sorts of fancy sounding names

This Stock Options Check List will help you replace the more traditional buy or sell short stock which is likely what you are most familiar with and likely doing already to place your trades

Ready? Good – here we go

Which way is the stock going to go next?

I would assume that you already know how to pick a stock and can figure out which way its going as to which way you think it will continue to go next to place your trade

When you have that figured out you need to replace what you would normally do with stock options

1 – Calls or Puts? 

Calls = Up & Puts = Down

I like to think of it like making a phone call – you call somebody up and when you finished you put the phone down

  • If you are bullish on a stock you would BUY a CALL
  • If you are bearish on a stock you would BUY a PUT

*Notice that in both bullish & bearish assumptions you BUY an option

2 – Which strike price?

Lets just keep this simple – I like to use 1-strike out-the-money in the premium stock alerts

Lets break this down

  • A strike price is the dollar amount you agree to reserve your shares at
  • Out-the-money refers to where the strike price is compared to the current stock price e.g. If the stock is trading at $50 and you want the stock to go up and you buy a call at the strike price of $51 – this is out-the-money as the stock price will have to move up and above $51 (which is when it turns in-the-money)

3 – How much time do you need?

The way I trade is short term in that I swing trade and my positions last on average 7-to-10-days. If Im wrong I like to have some extra time in there so I can “get a do-over” or a “go-around”

Typically 30-to-45-days gives me plenty of time to be right IF Im initially wrong

I will usually start with the nearest Monthly Option that has around 30-to-45-days before it will expire

If you need more time you buy more time – I will rarely buy less time on my options even if I dont need it – remember the back up place – give yourself time to be right

That is all

Now understand that there is a whole lot more to the world of options – this isnt even a primer on options – but it is all the information you need to replace your long or short stock trading and replace them with options and ultimately you will Never be stopped out EVER again.

 


Still need a little more help?

Never get stopped out EVER again

Yup, you read right – so buckle in this is going to be a COMPLETE eye opener

Think on this for a moment – If you can completely eliminate being “stopped out” Then…

  1. You can turn a bad strategy around.
  2. A breakeven strategy into a profitable one.
  3. Of course it will turn an already amazing strategy, like the one used for the premium alerts, into an phenomenal strategy

You can easily do this by simply switching the way you execute your trades

In other words – use stock option to position yourself

If stock options are new to you then (while this is not entirely accurate) it is easy to think of them like a deposit…

You can never lose more than your deposit no matter how bad things may get – awesome right?

But, and here is the icing on the cake or perhaps the cherry on top

Stock option increase in value (at least proportionally) as the stock price moves favourably

Stock options get the majority of the upside if the stock moved favourably (currently 81.4%  successful as I write this the way I use ’em) and a fixed downside no matter how bad things get

As such you never need to be stopped out ever again

Ooo – I changed my mind, this is the cherry on top…

If the stock doesn’t do what you initially expect and since you don’t need to ever be “stopped out” ever again THEN you get to see what happens between now and expiration

Yup – a free pass

I use around 30-days to expiration on my options as my “back up plan”

This is the main reason why the Premium Alerts had currently closed 80.4% of trades profitable

Because I get a free shot at a profitable trade – if I dont get it right immediately – I get a “go around”

It might be slightly mistimed by a day or two or I can turn a loser into a winner

Whatever happens I get to “manage my trade more successfully” which is a whole lot better than than taking a full loss by being stopped out prematurely

Here are some interesting stats from the premium alerts (at the time of this writing)

  • The Options positions closed 80.4% profitable in under 30-45 days
  • The equivalent positions on Stocks would have closed only 64.6% of the time profitable in under 30-45 days
  • The reality is that it is unlikely ALL the stock positions would have been open as they are capital intensive to hold the positions open

Whereas the options positions could realistically have all been held open even with a small $10,000 account and still hold 50% cash

Let us assume though for a moment that all positions on stock and options were held open rather than speculate on which positions would or would not have been taken

The stock potions (good for spread betting or CFDs too) were profitable 64.6% of the time which is quite impressive even if they are capital intensive

BUT – the option equivalent positions showed profits on the same selections 80.4% of the time

Which, as I am sure you will agree, is outstanding

The reason for this is that there is no need to be “stopped out” if the trade is not working out as initially expected

With options you get to “Manage the position more successfully” at some point prior to the option expiring and in many cases will turn a small profit

The lesson is;
Use stock options and never be stopped out again

This is what I send out in the Premium Alerts – which is just like your very own personal research team

What are you waiting for…?

Consider this your personal invitation to start receiving Your alerts every weekday

It is exactly like having your own personal research team – only better

Get the next Alert – Take Action Today

…It is reassuringly inexpensive

See you on the inside…
Happy Trading
Phil Newton

 


Still need a little more help?

How to find the best stocks to trade today, every day on demand

Why read this?

…Why not.

Back when I had a real job (a little more than 20+ years ago as I type this) I remember having one of those epiphany moments whilst taking some time to read something trading related and I remember thinking;

This is nothing new

The truth is that there is not a lot that is new in trading/investing as well as most areas in life. Trading books mostly talk about what setup is the current flavour of the day and like most people I’ve traded a lot of those different ways over the years.

The single thing I learned was;

Everything works some of the time and nothing works all of the time

As soon as you realise that you will start to do better in your trading as there is no such thing as the holy grail in this or any other business. Continue reading . . .

Hello world! This is the new AntiVestor website

Welcome to AntiVestor [dot] com & a Big “Ahoy there you flap ‘ole salty sea dog” to you.

This is just a little note to say that this site is #newbutnotnew

Previously, this site started out called BaBOaB [dot] com and is now new and improved and now called AntiVestor

Here we (thats the royal “we”) focus on stocks & stock options and we’re (royal “we” again) pretty dam good at it, “pippip”.

For now its a “tallyho” from me, have a good days trading

AntiVestor